The original URL for this prediction will no longer be available in 11 years (2011)

One thing I've done is include my redirect rules with the web application. So my links continue to work even when I change them and forget them.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46139686

At a certain bet size it would almost be self-fulfilling, heh, as one side would be very incentivized to keep at least that url working (buying the domain + hosting it if the page were to die)

> entering the characters http://www.longbets.org/601 into the address bar of a web browser or command line tool (like curl)

The part of this that's most likely to fail at some point is the "http://".

Amazing that Disqus comments are still live for this page. More impressive even than the website itself being live.

I'm not sure how it played out in 2011, but as of now it looks like the win condition hinges on the redirect.

For the heck of it I confirmed "http://www.longbets.org/601" does in fact result in a 301 redirect to "https://longbets.org/601/". I suspected they might have used a 302.

It's all a matter of whether someone is willing to pay for the hosting.

Which is not, in my opinion, how things should be hosted on the Web.

Freenet had a different approach, even back in the early days (two decades ago). I interviewed Ian Clarke about it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JWrRqUkJpMQ

I wrote about it for years: https://community.intercoin.app/t/who-pays-for-storage-nfts-...

And recently I built Safecloud to be different: https://safebots.github.io/Safecloud/