Polymarket apologizes for allowing wagers on fate of U.S. pilots downed in Iran

How are we supposed to come to a prediction, if wagers are disallowed?

The primary function of prediction markets is to reflect real world probabilities in terms of price in order to make better decisions. Without this function, we're acting in the dark.

How is this any different from betting on when Israel or America would invade Iran? Wouldn't Iranians be dying in an invasion?

"free speech" in america...

Just because gambling in general is legal doesn't mean every possible gambling event is legal. If someone got caught hosting a dog fight, they don't get off the hook because gambling is legal. I can't think of a single reason why such laws against unethical or violent gambling shouldn't extend to human suffering as well.